What worried cabinet ministers today was the disclosure to them that the rate of transmission of Covid-19 is not correctly under control in either healthcare facilities or care houses.
In the community, R – the rate of transmission – is most likely as low as 0.5/ 0.6, which implies its savage progress through the population has been apprehended.
However in the very locations where the frail and ill are expected to be shielded, too many people are still being newly contaminated.
Ministers were specifically stunned to discover that some hospitals are actually struggling to handle the rate of spread of health problem.
That is why Dominic Raab revealed today that for the UK as an entire, R has actually deteriorated a bit and is in the range of 0.5 to 0.9. And 0.9 is too near to 1 – the limit for rapid growth in infection – for convenience.
This discusses why the prime minister has stated that restrictions on our basic liberties, to see who we want and where and when we want, will be relaxed with fantastic caution.
What he will reveal on Sunday is a “roadmap” for progressive modifications to the lockdown, with u-turns written into that roadmap, which would be triggered should the rate of infection rise again. His plan will be really technical, conditional and arduous.
We will get to see our nearby and dearest again (though only in small numbers), and work more far from house (at a proper two metre range from colleagues) and look for non-essentials, all in the coming weeks and months, so long as we continue to do our socially distancing finest and the virus likewise acts as it is supposed to do.